Table 4.

Multinomial logistic regression predicting alcohol use behavior from childhood and adolescent measures for males (age 19, n = 88; age 23, n = 81; age 26, n = 83; age 28, n = 82).

	19 years			23 years			26 years			28 years
Measures	χ²	OR	CI	χ²	OR	CI	χ²	OR	CI	χ²	OR	CI
Maternal hostility, 24 & 42 months	1.62			1.93			1.25			2.27
Abstainers versus heavy users		0.84	0.46–1.54		1.11	0.53–2.30		0.75	0.34–1.65
Moderate users versus heavy users		0.70	0.40–1.24		0.75	0.45–1.23		1.09	0.70–1.72
No disorder versus current alcohol use disorder											0.60	0.33–1.11
Maternal alcohol use, 16 years	1.89			1.71			6.65^*			3.31^†
Abstainers versus heavy users		0.82	0.50–1.34		0.72	0.32–1.65		0.64	0.32–1.27
Moderate users versus heavy users		0.76	0.51–1.14		0.78	0.52–1.16		0.57^*	0.37–0.90
No disorder versus current alcohol use disorder											0.51^†	0.24–1.10
Peer acceptance, 12 years	1.58			1.30			6.52^*			0.89
Abstainers versus heavy users		1.01	0.99–1.04		0.98	0.94–1.03		0.97^†	0.93–1.00
Moderate users versus heavy users		1.01	0.99–1.03		1.01	0.99–1.02		1.01	0.99–1.03
No disorder versus current alcohol use disorder											1.01	0.98–1.05
Academic achievement, 12 years	0.23			1.28			6.79^*			2.24
Abstainers versus heavy users		1.01	0.95–1.08		1.05	0.95–1.15		1.02	0.94–1.12
Moderate users versus heavy users		1.01	0.96–1.07		1.02	0.97–1.08		1.08^*	1.01–1.15
No disorder versus current alcohol use disorder											1.08	0.97–1.20
Externalizing behavior, 9 years	0.14			0.59			5.10^†			5.40^*
Abstainers versus heavy users		0.99	0.93–1.06		0.98	0.90–1.08		0.91^*	0.83–0.99
Moderate users versus heavy users		1.00	0.95–1.06		1.01	0.97–1.08		0.97	0.92–1.03
No disorder versus current alcohol use disorder											0.90^*	0.81–0.99
Internalizing behavior, 9 years	3.48			1.07			0.10			0.00
Abstainers versus heavy users		1.05	0.98–1.14		1.00	0.87–1.14		0.99	0.90–1.10
Moderate users versus heavy users		1.05	0.99–1.12		0.97	0.91–1.03		1.01	0.95–1.07
No disorder versus current alcohol use disorder											1.00	0.90–1.12
Alcohol use, 16 years	8.94^*			9.14^*			6.01^*			4.62^*
Abstainers versus heavy users		0.46^*	0.24–0.89		0.33	0.07–1.53		0.69	0.39–1.24
Moderate users versus heavy users		0.85	0.63–1.15		0.69^*	0.50–0.94		0.67^*	0.47–0.98
No disorder versus current alcohol use disorder											0.61^*	0.39–0.98

Pseudo R² [77] 19 years = 0.21, 23 years = 0.23, 26 years = 0.32, 28 years = 0.36; CI = confidence interval; OR = odds ratio.

P < 0.05,

^**

P < 0.01,

^***

P < 0.001,

^†

P < 0.10.